Shoud I buy a 4k$ bitcoin miner or do an investement on bitcoin itself?

Shoud I buy a 4k$ bitcoin miner or do an investement on bitcoin itself?

I want to buy Antminer S9 14 TH/S which costs roughly 4000$ for me. On the other hand, I can buy 4000$ worth of bitcoin, and deposit it. So, what is more profitable in 6-12 month if I deposit all the mining?

Consider these 4 scenarios:

  1. Bitcoin price will be 10k$ in 6 months.
  2. Bitcoin price will be 20k$ in 6 minth
  3. Bitcoin price will be 30k$ in 6 minth
  4. Bitcoin price will be 40k$ in 6 minth

How can I calculate the possible return, based on different possible scenarios?

There are other variables included in this scenarios, including the change of difficulty. Right now, we read that we need 6,331 TH/s to get 1 BTC per day. There are historical values, and the change graph.

Should I compare the difficulty change chart with the price increase chart? (with possible forecasts?)

Bitcoin mining difficulty over time

http://ift.tt/2BJ5Mx7

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